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008 091109e20070906sz fot ||| 0|eng d
020 _a9783037195352
024 7 0 _a10.4171/035
_2doi
040 _ach0018173
072 7 _aPBT
_2bicssc
084 _a60-xx
_a91-xx
_2msc
100 1 _aBalkema, Guus,
_eauthor.
245 1 0 _aHigh Risk Scenarios and Extremes
_h[electronic resource] :
_bA geometric approach /
_cGuus Balkema, Paul Embrechts
260 3 _aZuerich, Switzerland :
_bEuropean Mathematical Society Publishing House,
_c2007
264 1 _aZuerich, Switzerland :
_bEuropean Mathematical Society Publishing House,
_c2007
300 _a1 online resource (388 pages)
336 _atext
_btxt
_2rdacontent
337 _acomputer
_bc
_2rdamedia
338 _aonline resource
_bcr
_2rdacarrier
347 _atext file
_bPDF
_2rda
490 0 _aZurich Lectures in Advanced Mathematics (ZLAM)
506 1 _aRestricted to subscribers:
_uhttp://www.ems-ph.org/ebooks.php
520 _aQuantitative Risk Management (QRM) has become a field of research of considerable importance to numerous areas of application, including insurance, banking, energy, medicine, reliability. Mainly motivated by examples from insurance and finance, the authors develop a theory for handling multivariate extremes. The approach borrows ideas from portfolio theory and aims at an intuitive approach in the spirit of the Peaks over Thresholds method. The point of view is geometric. It leads to a probabilistic description of what in QRM language may be referred to as a high risk scenario: the conditional behaviour of risk factors given that a large move on a linear combination (portfolio, say) has been observed. The theoretical models which describe such conditional extremal behaviour are characterized and their relation to the limit theory for coordinatewise maxima is explained. The first part is an elegant exposition of coordinatewise extreme value theory; the second half develops the more basic geometric theory. Besides a precise mathematical deduction of the main results, the text yields numerous discussions of a more applied nature. A twenty page preview introduces the key concepts; the extensive introduction provides links to financial mathematics and insurance theory. The book is based on a graduate course on point processes and extremes. It could form the basis for an advanced course on multivariate extreme value theory or a course on mathematical issues underlying risk. Students in statistics and finance with a mathematical, quantitative background are the prime audience. Actuaries and risk managers involved in data based risk analysis will find the models discussed in the book stimulating. The text contains many indications for further research.
650 0 7 _aProbability & statistics
_2bicssc
650 0 7 _aProbability theory and stochastic processes
_2msc
650 0 7 _aGame theory, economics, social and behavioral sciences
_2msc
700 1 _aBalkema, Guus,
_eauthor.
700 1 _aEmbrechts, Paul,
_eauthor.
856 4 0 _uhttps://doi.org/10.4171/035
856 4 2 _3cover image
_uhttp://www.ems-ph.org/img/books/balkema_mini.jpg
942 _2EBK13751
_cEBK
999 _c50375
_d50375